The 2023-24 NFL win totals opened on March 27 and sportsbooks left them open all summer as well as throughout the 2023-24 NFL season. The graph below was generated by taking each team’s average win total across the top online sportsbooks. You’ll find the last available win totals of the 2023-24 season with the over/under odds in the table under the graph.
The Cincinnati Bengals, Kansas City Chiefs, and San Francisco 49ers opened with the highest NFL win total at 11.5. However, the Niners’ win total dropped to 10.5 pretty quickly, while the Eagles, who opened at 10.5, saw their win total improve to 11.5, joining the Bengals and Chiefs atop the board. Buffalo is the only other team with a double-digit win total heading into the season.
The Arizona Cardinals had the lowest NFL win total for the 2023-24 NFL season at just 4.5 wins.
| Team | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 4.5 | +140 | -175 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 8.5 | +160 | -190 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 12.5 | +130 | -165 |
| Buffalo Bills | 9.5 | -120 | -105 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2.5 | +155 | -185 |
| Chicago Bears | 6.5 | -150 | +120 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8.5 | -160 | +130 |
| Cleveland Browns | 10.5 | +150 | -185 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 12.5 | +110 | -135 |
| Denver Broncos | 9.5 | +130 | -165 |
| Detroit Lions | 11.5 | +110 | -135 |
| Green Bay Packers | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Houston Texans | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9.5 | +125 | -150 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 10.5 | -115 | -110 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11.5 | +160 | -190 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6.5 | +110 | -135 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Los Angeles Rams | 8.5 | +135 | -165 |
| Miami Dolphins | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8.5 | +125 | -150 |
| New England Patriots | 4.5 | +200 | -250 |
| New Orleans Saints | 8.5 | +150 | -185 |
| New York Giants | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| New York Jets | 6.5 | -135 | +110 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 13.5 | +125 | -150 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 | -135 | +110 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 13.5 | +130 | -160 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8.5 | +150 | -185 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7.5 | -210 | +160 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6.5 | -130 | +105 |
| Washington Commanders | 5.5 | +180 | -220 |
Win totals as of December 12th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
There are six teams who opened with win totals of 10 or more: the Chiefs (11.5), Bengals (11.5), Eagles (11.5), 49ers (10.5), Bills (10.5), and Jaguars (10). Jacksonville did open at 10, but that line was undoubtedly the biggest surprise in that list, as the Jags have not won more than ten games in a season since 2007. They did win nine games last year and the Doug Pederson – Trevor Lawrence combo seemed to be blossoming into something really nice – but sportsbooks moved them back to 9.5 pretty quickly.
The other five teams in that list are your perennial powerhouses. If anything, 11.5 is probably low for the Chiefs, who have won 12+ games in each of the last five seasons—or every year of Mahomes’ career as a starter. When you factor in the over/under odds, Kansas City stands above Philadelphia and Cincinnati with their over being priced at -140. The Eagles are given -110 odds to go over 11.5 wins and the Bengals +110.
(This next bit was written in May) I wouldn’t be surprised if we see either of Buffalo or Philadelphia’s (called it) win total go up a little. Both are at 10.5 but are -140 and -150, respectively, to go over. (Still suspect Buffalo’s will go up to 11 soon.)
