Wimbledon has arrived! Since 1877, the All England Club in London has been home to one of the world’s most prestigious sporting events. To celebrate, DraftKings is hosting some of its largest Tennis DFS tournaments of the season. In this article, we delve into the world of tennis betting and DFS on platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel. Whether you’re seeking tennis betting odds, DFS tennis projections, or insights into today’s lineup, our analysis is here to guide you. Join us as we review DFS tennis research and explore the landscape for the upcoming Wimbledon slate.
| Player | Opponent | Odds | Opp Odds | Event | Surface | Elo% | Opp Elo% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | Yannick Hanfmann | -6000 | 2500 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 100.00% | 77.68% |
| Madison Keys | Martina Trevisan | -3500 | 1700 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 96.23% | 77.41% |
| Coco Gauff | Caroline Dolehide | -2000 | 1200 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 99.37% | 73.43% |
| Tommy Paul | Pedro Martinez | -1400 | 850 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 96.78% | 81.76% |
| Aryna Sabalenka | Emina Bektas | -2000 | 1100 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 99.58% | 64.85% |
| Emma Navarro | Qiang Wang | -1400 | 900 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 97.28% | 79.08% |
| Lorenzo Sonego | Mariano Navone | -1400 | 800 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 85.19% | 93.99% |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Sumit Nagal | -1000 | 650 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 84.76% | 74.46% |
| Tallon Griekspoor | Pablo Carreno Busta | -750 | 500 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 95.92% | 30.00% |
| Mirra Andreeva | Brenda Fruhvirtova | -650 | 450 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 97.49% | 83.26% |
| Qinwen Zheng | Lulu Sun | -550 | 400 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 98.74% | 75.94% |
| Linda Noskova | Sara Errani | -390 | 300 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 96.03% | 74.27% |
| Naomi Osaka | Diane Parry | -400 | 310 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 88.28% | 85.56% |
| Bianca Andreescu | Jaqueline Adina Cristian | -360 | 275 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 91.21% | 30.00% |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | Maximilian Marterer | -370 | 285 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 90.13% | 70.82% |
| Victoria Azarenka | Sloane Stephens | -320 | 255 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 96.86% | 95.19% |
| Donna Vekic | Xiyu Wang | -295 | 230 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 91.00% | 83.89% |
| Ben Shelton | Mattia Bellucci | -295 | 230 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 97.00% | 49.57% |
| Alexander Bublik | Jakub Mensik | -215 | 170 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 94.64% | 95.71% |
| Botic Van de Zandschulp | Liam Broady | -170 | 135 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 84.55% | 68.45% |
| Max Purcell | Otto Virtanen | -150 | 120 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 71.89% | 77.04% |
| Aleksandar Vukic | Sebastian Ofner | -145 | 115 | ATP – Wimbledon | Grass | 69.10% | 79.40% |
| Yafan Wang | Anna-Karolina Schmiedlova | -155 | 125 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 80.13% | 76.15% |
| Alison van Uytvanck | Yuliia Starodubtseva | -145 | 115 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 30.00% | 66.32% |
| Emma Raducanu | Ekaterina Alexandrova | -130 | 105 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 93.31% | 95.40% |
| Eva Lys | Clara Burel | -130 | 105 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 78.24% | 86.19% |
| Diana Shnaider | Karolina Pliskova | -135 | 105 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 87.45% | 93.72% |
| Yuriko Lily Miyazaki | Tamara Korpatsch | -145 | 110 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 58.79% | 66.11% |
| Sorana Cirstea | Sonay Kartal | -125 | 100 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 93.93% | 50.84% |
| Paula Badosa | Karolina Muchova | -115 | -110 | WTA – Wimbledon | Grass | 94.35% | 95.82% |
Odds courtesy of Draftkings Sportsbook as of publication time.
| Player | fpts | matches | sets | games | aces | df |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 75.94 | 0.90 | 2.82 | 20.44 | 10.88 | 2.15 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 74.94 | 0.89 | 2.81 | 19.97 | 9.88 | 1.94 |
| Tommy Paul | 73.93 | 0.90 | 2.81 | 20.05 | 10.55 | 2.43 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 72.88 | 0.87 | 2.78 | 19.67 | 8.18 | 2.13 |
| Emma Navarro | 69.08 | 0.90 | 1.69 | 12.47 | 1.83 | 1.65 |
| Madison Keys | 68.75 | 0.90 | 1.69 | 11.49 | 4.73 | 1.87 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 68.37 | 0.84 | 2.73 | 18.87 | 15.48 | 2.89 |
| Coco Gauff | 67.98 | 0.90 | 1.69 | 12.31 | 5.12 | 3.10 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 67.25 | 0.90 | 1.69 | 12.08 | 7.09 | 3.16 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 65.35 | 0.83 | 1.63 | 12.24 | 3.53 | 1.98 |
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| Player | own% |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | 28.74% |
| Ben Shelton | 25.93% |
| Jannik Sinner | 23.87% |
| Tommy Paul | 21.60% |
| Sorana Cirstea | 19.59% |
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| Player | Opto% |
|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | 17.60% |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 17.32% |
| Emma Navarro | 16.58% |
| Qinwen Zheng | 16.54% |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 15.30% |
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DFS Play #1 – Ben Shelton: $8,900
We’re starting with an American who has been inconsistent on grass throughout his career. He’s only played 9 matches on grass in his career and has only won 3 of them. While not ideal, there’s a big talent gap between him and Mattia Bellucci. For starters, Shelton is ranked 14th in the world, while Bellucci is ranked 150th. Shelton earned an automatic spot into Wimbledon, while Bellucci had to win 3 qualifier matches to get into the event. I prefer to use Elo ratings over world rankings when it comes to assessing talent, and Shelton is well ahead of Bellucci in overall Elo, yearly Elo, and grass Elo. Shelton is also a good play for DFS, as he boasts an 11.2% ace rate on his serve.
DFS Play #2 – Alexander Bublik: $8,800
Bublik is only 2-3 on grass this year, which has been a disappointment. However, he’s run into some quality opponents in Christopher Eubanks (made a run at Wimbledon last year), Aleksandar Vukic, and Lorenzo Musetti. I’m not overly concerned, as he was 9-2 on grass last year. Overall, it’s been a solid year for Bublik, who captured an ATP title at the Open Sud de France. Much like Shelton, Bublik is well ahead of his opponent (Jakub Mensik) in all of the Elo ratings — overall, yearly, and surface type. He’s a sizable favorite, he’s affordable, and he has a 4.3% difference between his ace rate and double fault rate in 2024.
Bet #1 – Mariano Navone +7.5 games (-110)
I had to double check my model a few times on this one because it has Navone and Lorenzo Sonego projected fairly close. The latter certainly has the edge when it comes to experience playing on grass, but he has not had a good year. He’s 14-21 overall and 4-6 on grass. He has dropped all the way down to 57th in the world rankings, while Navone is on an opposite trajectory. He’s already been to 4 ATP finals and picked up a title in Calgary. The concern here is that Navone is a clay specialist. He’s 0-2 on hard courts and 0-3 on grass courts over the last two years. Based on recent form, the +7.5 games against a struggling player screams value.
Bet #2 – Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 Winner (-330)
When projecting tennis, I like using a rating system and then comparing how each player rates against their opponents. Of the 64 matches on Monday (men’s and women’s), Griekspoor had the second biggest gap between his rating and his opponent’s rating. I don’t see any value in the -900 number on the full match, but I do like the -330 on the first set. Griekspoor is 27th in the world rankings, he rates out extremely well in all of the Elo ratings, and he’s 10-4 on grass over the last two years. His opponent (Pablo Carreno-Busta) hasn’t played much tennis recently. He’s only 3-9 this year and is 0-1 on grass over the last two years. I like Griekspoor to get off to a good start and win the first set.
Pick ‘Em – Casper Ruud more than 24.5 fantasy points
If you are playing on PrizePicks or any of the pick ‘em sites, it’s important to understand their scoring systems. For this particular pick, I am looking at PrizePicks, where you get points for games won, sets won, and aces. You lose points for games lost, sets lost, and double faults. While Alex Bolt has as much experience on grass this year (18-2) as nearly anyone in the tournament, he hasn’t been playing against the best competition. Ruud is one of the best players in the world (currently ranked 8th) and has plenty of experience in majors. He also has a 4.1% difference between his ace rate and double fault rate. I don’t expect him to have much trouble against Bolt.
