The John Deere Classic begins on the Fourth of July and a big week here in Las Vegas with the start of the World Series of Poker World Championship “Main Event” and more record attendance for the WNBA Aces-Fever clash. A longstanding staple on the PGA Tour since the early 1970’s, the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, IL features bentgrass fairways and greens. It plays to 7,289 yards and Par 71 with plenty of fireworks and low scores.

While the “Run Like a Deere” PGA tournament doesn’t draw the best players to the event with the upcoming Open Championship in Scotland, this year’s event did draw seven of the top-40 players in the world golf rankings to tee-it-up across four days July 4-7.

The leading online sportsbooks odds vary, and Sungjae Im has been bet down as the favorite. He has three top-10 finishes in his last four starts, but hasn’t played TPC Deere Run since 2021 with a best finish of T26 in two starts.

Key Ball Striking, Approach and Around the Green strokes gained stats are part of the model this week with Birdies or Better Gained guiding you towards more winners and top finishing position performances.

Leading Favorites Odds to Win 2023 John Deere Classic

Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting.

• +1400: Sungjae Im (+160, Top-10)
• +1600: Sepp Straka (+170) – defending champion
• +2000: Jordan Spieth, Denny McCarthy, Aaron Rai (+185 to +200)
• +2500: Davis Thompson (+220)
• +2800: Maverick McNealy (+250)
• +3000: Keith Mitchell (+250)
• +3300: Jason Day (+290)
• +3500: JT Poston, Nick Dunlap (+290)
• +4200: Adam Svensson, Luke Clanton
• +4500: Seamus Power, Lucas Glover, Kevin Yu
• +5000: Sam Stevens
• +5500: Eric Cole
• +6000: Patrick Rodgers, Doug Ghim, Daniel Berger
• +6000: Beau Hossler, Ben Griffin, Mark Hubbard
• +6500: Lee Hodges, Ryo Hisatsune
• +7500: Adam Schenk, Jhonattan Vegas
• +8000: Joel Dahman, Neal Shipley
• +9000: Andrew Novak, Jake Knap
• +10000: Patton Kizzire
• +11000: Alex Smalley, Michael Thorbjornsen, Greyson Sigg
• +11000: Davis Riley, Chandler Phillips, Thorbjørn Olesen, Michael Kim
• 72-Hole Winning Score: Over/Under 263.5 (Par 71)

The three most recent winners are all in field and the winning score has been -18 under par or better every year since 2009. Sepp Straka (-21), J.T. Poston (-21), Lucas Glover (-19).

Responsible Gambling

Betting on Longshots

This is one of the most open events on the PGA Tour rotation, and a good week to fire at some longshots. Props and top finishing position bets with more favorable odds offer bigger payoffs knowing that a hot putter, above-average ball-striking and strong strokes gained approach play will position players on the leaderboard.

John Deere Classic Golf Picks

See golf odds to win and leading golf analysts and contributors picks to win and top finishing position as available by Wednesday along with tee times.

• GolfBet: Maverick McNealy (2), Denny McCarthy, Seamus Power and top-10 Jordan Spieth, Mark Hubbard, Davis Thompson, Eric Cole
• SportingLife: Sungjae Im, Denny McCarthy, Seamus Power and longshots Patton Kizzire, Ben Kohles
• FanDuel: Sepp Straka, Maverick McNealy, J.T. Poston, Mark Hubbard
• Golf Digest: Sungjae Im (3), Davis Thompson (2), Maverick McNealy, Sepp Straka. Longshots Luke Clanton, Seamus Power, Mark Hubbard and Patrick Rodgers
• Golf Week: Denny McCarthy, Lucas Glover, Adam Svensson and longshots Jake Knapp, Joel Dahmen

Notable Tournament match-ups and odds for the John Deere Classic

Tournament and daily matchups and finishing position odds and props from FanDuel and top online sportsbooks vary.

• Sungjae Im (-145) vs. Jordan Spieth (+125)
• Thompson (-125) vs. McCarthy (+100)
• McNealy (-130) vs. Mitchell (+105)
• Straka (-125) vs. Rai (+100) – Bet Rai (FanDuel)
• Hubbard (-115) vs. Hossler (-105)
• Cole (-115) vs. Griffin (-115)
• Day (-115) vs. Svensson (-110)
• Stevens (-120) vs. Hodges (+100)
• Rai (-120) vs. Thompson (-105) – Round 1
• McNealy (-125) vs. Svensson (+100) – Round 1
• Glover (-120) vs. Berger (-105) – Round 1

Looking for Luke Clanton in matchups when offered. Big bomber who can putt and finished T10 in the Rocket Mortgage Classic last week in his second career start.

How To Watch The John Deere Classic

Tournament July 4-7. Thursday and Friday tee times and groups. All times Eastern.

• Thursday-Friday: 4-7 p.m. (Golf Channel/Peacock)
• Saturday-Sunday: 1-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3-6 p.m. (CBS)
• Streaming online coverage on PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ (7am-6pm), Paramount+, Peacock plus SiriusXM Radio channel 92 (1-6pm)

If you enjoy betting on golf or playing in daily fantasy golf leagues and pools, then Golfstats.com is a club to put in your bag and bookmark as your course guide to each PGA Tour event. The site provides golf stats and weekly Tour insight with tournament previews and player performance charts. I also use FantasyNational.com for additional stats and player comparisions as a useful ‘birdie’ guide along with advanced stats from datagolf.com, which provide key stats, live models and updates and advanced betting tools to assist you when watching and wagering on golf including daily fantasy (DFS).

Check out more players golf odds and tournament coverage of the 2024 John Deere Classic and weekly PGA Tour events as betting on golf continues to be a most popular sport offering more ways to win.

You can bet on it.

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