Despite a relatively calm start to hurricane season, the Atlantic basin is showing signs of a late-season surge.
The first half of the season, from June to September 10, started slow with only six named storms (Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Francine). However, the pace has quickened with five storms (Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk) developing since then.
Hurricane Helene, in particular, caused extensive damage across the Southeast part of the United States, serving as a stark reminder of the season’s potential for destruction.
Now, Colorado State University (CSU) is forecasting a 99% chance of above-normal activity for the next two weeks (October 1-14), based on their accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) forecast.
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Tropical Storm Kirk is poised to become a major hurricane later this week, though it’s expected to remain out at sea. Meanwhile, another disturbance in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop into the next named storm, Leslie.
This anticipated increase in activity is attributed to favourable conditions and warm ocean temperatures. Warm waters provide fuel for hurricanes, and sea surface temperatures remain conducive for development.
With two months left in the official Atlantic hurricane season, it’s crucial to remain vigilant. Residents in coastal areas should stay informed about the latest forecasts and advisories from The Weather Network and local authorities.
Ensure you have a hurricane preparedness plan, including evacuation routes and emergency supplies.
This late-season surge serves as a reminder that the Atlantic hurricane season is far from over.
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